Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Staal 57.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 61.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 58.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Cizikas
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Cizikas
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Cizikas
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
58.9% (1,096)
-5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
68.4% (57)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
51.8% (222)
-0.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Staal
Home
58.6% (307)
57.0% (646)
Away
48.7% (339)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Cizikas
Staal
P1
56.7%
55.9%
P2
49.8%
55.4%
P3
53.8%
62.0%
OT
100.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |