Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 67.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Cizikas
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Cizikas
Staal
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Cizikas
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
2
Cizikas
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
56.3% (1,115)
+0.1%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
61.2% (67)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
52.1% (292)
-11.5%
On power play, Staal has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Staal
Home
55.0% (473)
58.3% (705)
Away
51.7% (466)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Cizikas
Staal
P1
54.9%
54.5%
P2
50.8%
58.2%
P3
54.5%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |