Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 32-31 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 64.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 72.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Cizikas
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
32
(63 meetings)
31
32
Cizikas
Staal
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
10
Cizikas
Staal
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
12
7
Cizikas
Staal
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
10
15
Cizikas
Staal
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
55.9% (14,620)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
62.7% (1,745)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
48.0% (2,896)
-3.6%
On power play, Staal has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Staal
Home
53.7% (5,498)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Cizikas
Staal
P1
53.0%
55.2%
P2
51.1%
55.9%
P3
51.7%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |