Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.1%). Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Paul 53.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 62.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 53.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 59.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cizikas
Paul
Last 8: Cizikas 3-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
4
Cizikas
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
53.2% (327)
+1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
61.4% (57)
+38.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.0% (32)
-2.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
53.3% (270)
54.6% (183)
Away
54.8% (299)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
57.2%
56.3%
P2
56.3%
54.8%
P3
49.5%
52.4%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |