Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.7%). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Paul 53.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 65.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cizikas
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Cizikas
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
53.8% (753)
+2.6%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
58.9% (90)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
47.4% (78)
-6.8%
On power play, Paul has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
55.0% (473)
54.2% (450)
Away
51.7% (466)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
54.9%
58.2%
P2
50.8%
50.6%
P3
54.5%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |