Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Paul 52.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 63.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 69.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
16
(33 meetings)
17
16
Cizikas
Paul
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
9
7
Cizikas
Paul
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
5
Cizikas
Paul
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
4
Cizikas
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
52.5% (3,796)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
56.5% (480)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
46.7% (574)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
53.7% (5,498)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
53.0%
53.9%
P2
51.1%
51.0%
P3
51.7%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |