Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.3%). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Paul 53.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 79.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
53.1% (710)
+0.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.3% (199)
+42.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
58.0% (69)
-6.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
58.6% (307)
56.0% (466)
Away
48.7% (339)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
56.7%
57.2%
P2
49.8%
54.9%
P3
53.8%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |