Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Paul 50.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 69.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 74.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Cizikas
Paul
Last 9: Cizikas 6-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
53.0% (644)
+4.8%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
37.5% (24)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
42.9% (177)
+2.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
56.6% (484)
52.5% (516)
Away
54.5% (477)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
57.2%
47.6%
P2
54.7%
48.4%
P3
54.8%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |