Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Paul 50.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 56.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 62.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
48.8% (666)
+7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.8% (65)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
60.0% (55)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
55.4% (303)
49.7% (348)
Away
54.9% (308)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
53.0%
51.0%
P2
56.0%
47.4%
P3
56.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |