Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Paul 51.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 73.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 66.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Cizikas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Paul
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Cizikas
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (525)
53.5% (312)
+1.7%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
53.8% (26)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (145)
29.4% (34)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Cizikas is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Cizikas shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Paul
Home
55.5% (353)
45.8% (153)
Away
51.3% (335)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Cizikas
Paul
P1
53.4%
55.9%
P2
51.4%
48.9%
P3
55.8%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |