Casey Mittelstadt vs Chandler Stephenson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Stephenson 57.4% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 58.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
57.7% (837)
-12.4%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
64.2% (226)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
47.5% (99)
-6.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Home
45.1% (366)
56.2% (589)
Away
46.8% (370)
60.0% (573)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
P1
41.1%
58.3%
P2
51.1%
58.3%
P3
45.9%
57.9%
OT
30.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |