Casey Mittelstadt vs Chandler Stephenson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Stephenson 52.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 57.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
51.6% (829)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
62.7% (142)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.3% (79)
+5.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Home
47.7% (583)
52.5% (499)
Away
46.4% (541)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
P1
50.0%
50.2%
P2
46.2%
55.7%
P3
45.5%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |