Casey Mittelstadt vs Chandler Stephenson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Stephenson 51.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 80.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 78.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
5
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
3
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
4
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
51.2% (1,041)
-6.5%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
57.8% (211)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.7% (222)
-7.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Home
46.0% (491)
52.2% (751)
Away
42.4% (512)
51.0% (723)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
P1
44.0%
50.4%
P2
46.4%
51.5%
P3
41.9%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |