Casey Mittelstadt vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Stephenson 52.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
52.8% (634)
-1.2%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
62.0% (187)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
38.6% (153)
+61.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +61.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Home
60.7% (89)
52.7% (533)
Away
43.1% (65)
51.9% (441)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
P1
46.3%
56.5%
P2
52.9%
51.8%
P3
58.6%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |