Casey Mittelstadt vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Stephenson 52.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 53.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 64.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
52.1% (801)
-1.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
62.0% (242)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.9% (183)
+60.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Home
59.3% (91)
53.1% (672)
Away
42.5% (80)
51.1% (554)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
P1
48.8%
54.6%
P2
49.1%
51.3%
P3
56.7%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |