Casey Mittelstadt vs Chandler Stephenson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Stephenson 52.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 19-8 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 85.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 92.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 83.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
19
(27 meetings)
8
19
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
7
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
8
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
4
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
51.9% (5,743)
-6.9%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
59.8% (1,107)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
45.7% (823)
-8.2%
On power play, Stephenson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
Home
46.7% (2,316)
52.6% (3,827)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
52.2% (3,846)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stephenson
P1
46.8%
51.6%
P2
46.1%
52.4%
P3
44.0%
52.8%
OT
36.6%
57.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |