Casey Mittelstadt vs Dawson Mercer
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Mercer 45.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Mittelstadt
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
43.2% (148)
+2.1%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
40.0% (10)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
28.6% (7)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Home
45.1% (366)
39.0% (82)
Away
46.8% (370)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Mercer
P1
41.1%
45.5%
P2
51.1%
44.0%
P3
45.9%
36.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |