Casey Mittelstadt vs Dawson Mercer
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Mercer 46.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 59.6%
Defensive zone
Mercer 53.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 59.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
2
Mittelstadt
Mercer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
43.6% (241)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
50.0% (14)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
70.0% (10)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Mercer
Home
47.7% (583)
41.7% (120)
Away
46.4% (541)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Mercer
P1
50.0%
44.6%
P2
46.2%
45.4%
P3
45.5%
45.2%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |