Casey Mittelstadt vs Dylan Larkin

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Larkin 52.1% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone Larkin 54.7%
Defensive zone Larkin 55.7%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 59.4%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Mittelstadt Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.8% (903)
-5.9%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
56.0% (225)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
47.4% (76)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +25.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Larkin
Home
47.2% (193)
55.6% (662)
Away
42.9% (259)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Larkin
P1
49.0%
49.9%
P2
45.7%
52.7%
P3
38.8%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
49.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%
50.5%
44.7%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.3%