Casey Mittelstadt vs Jack Hughes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Hughes 36.6% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 69.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 94.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 91.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
13
(35 meetings)
22
13
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Last 10: Mittelstadt 7-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
5
Mittelstadt
Hughes
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
1
Mittelstadt
Hughes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
13
7
Mittelstadt
Hughes
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
36.0% (2,887)
+9.0%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
38.8% (224)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
31.0% (42)
+6.5%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Home
46.7% (2,316)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hughes
P1
46.8%
36.9%
P2
46.1%
33.6%
P3
44.0%
38.1%
OT
36.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |