Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Hughes 39.8% (+15.3%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Mittelstadt
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
36.8% (266)
+13.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
14.3% (7)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Home
59.3% (91)
35.1% (148)
Away
42.5% (80)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hughes
P1
48.8%
43.0%
P2
49.1%
28.7%
P3
56.7%
35.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%