Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Hughes 38.0% (+10.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 59.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Mittelstadt
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
34.5% (342)
+11.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
42.9% (7)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
25.0% (4)
-2.8%
On even strength, Mittelstadt has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Home
47.2% (193)
32.6% (187)
Away
42.9% (259)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hughes
P1
49.0%
33.9%
P2
45.7%
34.2%
P3
38.8%
36.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%