Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Evans 49.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 67.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Mittelstadt
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Mittelstadt
Evans
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Mittelstadt
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Mittelstadt
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
0
Mittelstadt
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
51.3% (739)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
53.3% (15)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
43.0% (172)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Evans
Home
47.2% (193)
52.1% (503)
Away
42.9% (259)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Evans
P1
49.0%
50.5%
P2
45.7%
47.7%
P3
38.8%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |