Casey Mittelstadt vs Jake Evans
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Evans 52.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 32-25 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 59.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 83.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Mittelstadt
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
25
(57 meetings)
32
25
Mittelstadt
Evans
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
18
5
Mittelstadt
Evans
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
14
Mittelstadt
Evans
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
10
6
Mittelstadt
Evans
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
53.8% (3,695)
-8.8%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
60.0% (70)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
47.1% (1,222)
-9.6%
On power play, Evans has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Evans
Home
46.7% (2,316)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Evans
P1
46.8%
54.0%
P2
46.1%
50.9%
P3
44.0%
52.0%
OT
36.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |