Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Evans 55.4% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 85.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Mittelstadt
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
56.2% (477)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
70.0% (10)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
55.4% (204)
+44.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Evans
Home
59.3% (91)
55.3% (374)
Away
42.5% (80)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Evans
P1
48.8%
58.5%
P2
49.1%
55.7%
P3
56.7%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%