Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Evans 52.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Mittelstadt
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Mittelstadt
Evans
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
7
1
Mittelstadt
Evans
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
7
Mittelstadt
Evans
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
54.4% (807)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
55.0% (20)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
46.1% (310)
+3.9%
On even strength, Evans has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Evans
Home
47.7% (583)
53.7% (581)
Away
46.4% (541)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Evans
P1
50.0%
54.6%
P2
46.2%
50.0%
P3
45.5%
52.3%
OT
25.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 9, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |