Casey Mittelstadt vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Staal 55.1% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 69.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Mittelstadt
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
57.2% (740)
-5.6%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
67.0% (88)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.9% (187)
+56.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
60.7% (89)
55.4% (518)
Away
43.1% (65)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
46.3%
53.6%
P2
52.9%
56.6%
P3
58.6%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%