Casey Mittelstadt vs Jordan Staal
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 80.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Mittelstadt
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mittelstadt
Staal
Last 7: Mittelstadt 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Mittelstadt
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
56.3% (1,115)
-11.0%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
61.2% (67)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
52.1% (292)
-11.5%
On power play, Staal has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
45.1% (366)
58.3% (705)
Away
46.8% (370)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
41.1%
54.5%
P2
51.1%
58.2%
P3
45.9%
54.1%
OT
30.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |