Casey Mittelstadt vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Staal 54.6% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 69.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Mittelstadt
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
56.1% (955)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.9% (142)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.0% (242)
+57.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
59.3% (91)
55.4% (663)
Away
42.5% (80)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
48.8%
55.1%
P2
49.1%
54.7%
P3
56.7%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%