Casey Mittelstadt vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 88.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 92.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Mittelstadt
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
22
(34 meetings)
12
22
Mittelstadt
Staal
Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
2
Mittelstadt
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
13
Mittelstadt
Staal
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
7
Mittelstadt
Staal
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
55.9% (14,620)
-10.9%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
62.7% (1,745)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
48.0% (2,896)
-10.5%
On power play, Staal has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
46.7% (2,316)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
46.8%
55.2%
P2
46.1%
55.9%
P3
44.0%
54.9%
OT
36.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |