Casey Mittelstadt vs Jordan Staal
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Staal 57.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 72.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Mittelstadt
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Mittelstadt
Staal
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
5
Mittelstadt
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
58.9% (1,096)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
68.4% (57)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
51.8% (222)
-1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
47.7% (583)
57.0% (646)
Away
46.4% (541)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
50.0%
55.9%
P2
46.2%
55.4%
P3
45.5%
62.0%
OT
25.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |