Casey Mittelstadt vs Jordan Staal
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Staal 54.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 89.2%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 81.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Mittelstadt
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Mittelstadt
Staal
Last 7: Mittelstadt 1-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Mittelstadt
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Mittelstadt
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
57.0% (1,017)
-12.3%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
57.7% (26)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.1% (286)
-5.1%
On power play, Staal has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
46.0% (491)
54.3% (667)
Away
42.4% (512)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
44.0%
56.2%
P2
46.4%
57.0%
P3
41.9%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |