Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.0%). Mittelstadt wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Hayes 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Last 5: Mittelstadt 2-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Mittelstadt
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Mittelstadt
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
48.7% (394)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
61.2% (49)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
34.3% (35)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Home
47.3% (224)
50.6% (237)
Away
50.7% (217)
47.3% (241)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hayes
P1
51.8%
43.9%
P2
51.0%
47.3%
P3
44.9%
55.9%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |