Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Hayes 49.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 58.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Mittelstadt
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
48.5% (557)
-3.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
53.3% (107)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
58.3% (12)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Home
45.1% (366)
50.8% (313)
Away
46.8% (370)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hayes
P1
41.1%
52.3%
P2
51.1%
47.7%
P3
45.9%
48.4%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.9%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |