Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Hayes 42.7% (+15.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.8%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Mittelstadt
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
31.9% (91)
+18.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
64.3% (14)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Home
59.3% (91)
30.6% (49)
Away
42.5% (80)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hayes
P1
48.8%
22.9%
P2
49.1%
40.0%
P3
56.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%