Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Hayes 43.8% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 55.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Mittelstadt
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
42.7% (478)
+3.2%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
42.9% (98)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
45.2% (31)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hayes
Home
47.2% (193)
43.5% (232)
Away
42.9% (259)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hayes
P1
49.0%
40.1%
P2
45.7%
44.8%
P3
38.8%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%