Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Backlund 49.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 74.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 94.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 84.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Last 7: Mittelstadt 6-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
0
Mittelstadt
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
49.2% (884)
-10.1%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
44.3% (61)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
57.0% (86)
-57.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (326).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
43.2% (280)
49.3% (531)
Away
35.9% (256)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
41.8%
47.1%
P2
37.6%
53.7%
P3
39.6%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
34.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
39.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |