Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 77.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
50.1% (891)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
53.1% (64)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.8% (278)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
59.3% (91)
48.1% (580)
Away
42.5% (80)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
48.8%
45.1%
P2
49.1%
54.7%
P3
56.7%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |