Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Backlund 49.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 57.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Last 10: Mittelstadt 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
9
1
Mittelstadt
Backlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
6
Mittelstadt
Backlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Mittelstadt
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
49.7% (13,410)
-4.7%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
51.6% (1,336)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
44.0% (2,446)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
46.8%
48.5%
P2
46.1%
50.3%
P3
44.0%
48.4%
OT
36.6%
44.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |