Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Backlund 48.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 53.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Mittelstadt
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
50.4% (1,032)
-5.7%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
52.3% (107)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
40.6% (313)
-0.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
46.0% (491)
48.7% (749)
Away
42.4% (512)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
44.0%
50.4%
P2
46.4%
50.1%
P3
41.9%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |