Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 76.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 51.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Last 7: Mittelstadt 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Mittelstadt
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Mittelstadt
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
51.0% (1,205)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
59.3% (108)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
42.3% (234)
+7.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
47.7% (583)
51.2% (782)
Away
46.4% (541)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
46.2%
49.8%
P3
45.5%
49.9%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |