Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Backlund holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 76.0%
Defensive zone Backlund 69.2%
Neutral zone Mittelstadt 51.9%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Mittelstadt Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
Mittelstadt Backlund
Last 7: Mittelstadt 3-4 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Mittelstadt Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Mittelstadt Backlund
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
51.0% (1,205)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
59.3% (108)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
42.3% (234)
+7.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
47.7% (583)
51.2% (782)
Away
46.4% (541)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
50.0%
51.5%
P2
46.2%
49.8%
P3
45.5%
49.9%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%
53.0%
47.1%
Backlund
44.0%
44.0%
50.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 12, 2024 3 11:59 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt
Mar 12, 2024 2 03:37 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 12, 2024 1 09:36 Defensive Casey Mittelstadt
Oct 19, 2023 2 19:09 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Oct 19, 2023 2 10:03 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Oct 19, 2023 2 04:47 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Oct 19, 2023 1 10:15 Neutral Mikael Backlund