Casey Mittelstadt vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Backlund 50.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 64.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Mittelstadt
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
51.9% (1,083)
-6.6%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
51.7% (120)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
44.3% (183)
-3.7%
On even strength, Backlund has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backlund
Home
45.1% (366)
51.9% (673)
Away
46.8% (370)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backlund
P1
41.1%
51.4%
P2
51.1%
50.5%
P3
45.9%
51.4%
OT
30.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |