Casey Mittelstadt vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.4%). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 55.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
45.8% (755)
+0.1%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
48.3% (60)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
27.6% (29)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Home
47.2% (193)
49.5% (396)
Away
42.9% (259)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
P1
49.0%
50.2%
P2
45.7%
43.8%
P3
38.8%
41.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |