Casey Mittelstadt vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 52.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
44.7% (1,053)
+0.6%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
36.8% (95)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
65.0% (20)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Mittelstadt shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Home
45.1% (366)
49.4% (553)
Away
46.8% (370)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
P1
41.1%
45.3%
P2
51.1%
42.7%
P3
45.9%
45.1%
OT
30.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%