Casey Mittelstadt vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 51.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
49.2% (1,266)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
54.9% (193)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.1% (55)
-9.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
Home
46.0% (491)
50.9% (740)
Away
42.4% (512)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Mittelstadt
MacKinnon
P1
44.0%
50.9%
P2
46.4%
51.8%
P3
41.9%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%