Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Roy 47.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 66.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Mittelstadt
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Mittelstadt
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
48.6% (679)
-3.9%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
48.0% (50)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
34.7% (49)
+5.3%
On power play, Roy has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Roy
Home
46.0% (491)
49.3% (345)
Away
42.4% (512)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Roy
P1
44.0%
47.6%
P2
46.4%
47.1%
P3
41.9%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |