Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.2%). Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Roy 51.9% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Mittelstadt
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
51.9% (547)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.1% (37)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Roy
Home
59.3% (91)
54.0% (328)
Away
42.5% (80)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Roy
P1
48.8%
53.5%
P2
49.1%
51.6%
P3
56.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%