Casey Mittelstadt vs Nicolas Roy
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Roy 48.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 51.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 89.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 72.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Mittelstadt
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
7
(25 meetings)
18
7
Mittelstadt
Roy
Last 10: Mittelstadt 9-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
9
2
Mittelstadt
Roy
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
4
Mittelstadt
Roy
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
1
Mittelstadt
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
48.7% (3,719)
-3.7%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
49.5% (283)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
45.5% (477)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Roy
Home
46.7% (2,316)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Roy
P1
46.8%
50.8%
P2
46.1%
46.3%
P3
44.0%
48.1%
OT
36.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |