Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Colton 51.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 66.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 64.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 66.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Mittelstadt
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
2
Mittelstadt
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
52.7% (524)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
50.9% (53)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
0.0% (4)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Colton
Home
47.2% (193)
52.9% (291)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Colton
P1
49.0%
50.6%
P2
45.7%
54.4%
P3
38.8%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Ross Colton |