Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Colton 54.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 55.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Mittelstadt
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Mittelstadt
Colton
Last 9: Mittelstadt 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Mittelstadt
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
56.1% (173)
-10.8%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
56.3% (16)
-6.7%
On even strength, Colton has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Colton
Home
45.1% (366)
55.3% (94)
Away
46.8% (370)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Colton
P1
41.1%
48.1%
P2
51.1%
62.5%
P3
45.9%
57.1%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.9%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |