Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Colton 48.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 60.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Mittelstadt
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
45.5% (88)
+4.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
71.4% (7)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Colton
Home
59.3% (91)
44.7% (47)
Away
42.5% (80)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Colton
P1
48.8%
52.8%
P2
49.1%
47.1%
P3
56.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |